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<channel>
	<title>Inexact Possibilities: Politics at the Cutting Edge &#187; Andrew Sullivan</title>
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		<title>About That Oil Spill</title>
		<link>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2010/05/about-that-oil-spill/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2010/05/about-that-oil-spill/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 May 2010 14:12:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/?p=438</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For us visual thinkers, a great graphical representation:

Update: And another!
(via Andrew Sullivan)
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For us visual thinkers, a great graphical representation:</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="560" height="340" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/XLiqvZOP8TY&amp;hl=en_US&amp;fs=1&amp;" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="560" height="340" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/XLiqvZOP8TY&amp;hl=en_US&amp;fs=1&amp;" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always"></embed></object></p>
<p>Update: And <a href="http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/2010/in-deep-water/" target="_blank">another</a>!</p>
<p>(via <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2010/05/visualizing-the-spill.html" target="_blank">Andrew Sullivan</a>)</p>
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		<title>Rudy Giuliani and the Deep Unseriousness of the Right on National Security</title>
		<link>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/rudy-giuliani-and-the-deep-unseriousness-of-the-right-on-national-security/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/rudy-giuliani-and-the-deep-unseriousness-of-the-right-on-national-security/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 06:01:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conor Friedersdorf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[President Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rudy Giuliani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sarah Palin]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/?p=169</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
With Sarah Palin on a national media blitz, the amount of false reality out there naturally increases by a huge amount. Palin lives in her own little impenetrable world; she&#8217;s the commensurate victim. Why anyone believes a word she says is beyond me.
(An aside: I don&#8217;t think Palin expects to be a credible conservative leader—she&#8217;d rather be a popular conservative celebrity. As Ana Marie Cox said on Rachel Maddow on<a href="http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/rudy-giuliani-and-the-deep-unseriousness-of-the-right-on-national-security/">&#160;<b>Read more</b></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-170" title="Rudy Giuliani" src="http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/31_giuliani_lg-300x200.jpg" alt="Rudy Giuliani" width="300" height="200" /></p>
<p>With Sarah Palin on a national media blitz, the amount of false reality out there naturally increases by a huge amount. Palin lives in her own little impenetrable world; she&#8217;s the <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/11/a-professional-victim.html" target="_blank">commensurate victim</a>. Why anyone believes a word she says is beyond me.</p>
<p>(An aside: I don&#8217;t think Palin expects to be a credible conservative leader—she&#8217;d rather be a popular conservative celebrity. As Ana Marie Cox <a href="http://www.theawl.com/2009/11/ana-marie-cox-on-sarah-palin-she-lies" target="_blank">said on Rachel Maddow on Tuesday night</a>, you don&#8217;t write a book taking revenge on staffers if you want to build a campaign in the future. Likewise, you don&#8217;t quit your only major elected office if you want to be seen as a qualified presidential candidate. So let&#8217;s agree, for now, that Palin&#8217;s lies are those of someone craving the spotlight as an ends, not a means.)</p>
<p>But this post isn&#8217;t about Sarah Palin&#8217;s false realities. It&#8217;s about Rudy Giuliani&#8217;s, and those of the right&#8217;s &#8220;experts&#8221; on national security, which I think are far more dangerous.</p>
<p><span id="more-169"></span>Giuliani is still seen—GOD KNOWS WHY—as an expert on national security. I&#8217;m not going to get into the reasons this is ridiculous, but they are many. Because Giuliani is seen as an authority on national security, however, his opinions on serious topics are taken seriously, when really he is a deeply <em>unserious</em> thinker on matters of national security and foreign policy.</p>
<p>I wrote about this a long time ago, during the 2008 primary campaign, on my now-defunct personal blog, but I think it bears repeating. Back then, Giuliani&#8217;s campaign website (also defunct, thankfully) listed &#8220;12 Commitments&#8221; he would uphold as President, the very first of which was:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>1. I will keep America on offense in the Terrorists’ War on Us.</em></p>
<p>To which I responded, on January 28, 2008:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">I won’t even bother explaining why <em>Terrorists’ War on Us</em> is a stupid formulation, except to say that it’s a pathetic, misleading appeal to a sense of victimhood. It’s passive and I’d hope we’re above such rhetoric. [... But w]hat really bugs me about this first commitment is that it doesn’t even<em> make sense.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">Let’s be generous and assume that a <em>Terrorists’ War on Us </em>really does exist. We must therefore assume that the terrorists are on the offensive. It is, after all, their “war on us.” So how, we might ask, can <em>we</em> be on the offense in what is, by Rudy’s own formulation, a <em>defensive</em> war? [...] An understanding of basic logic should probably be a prerequisite for running for President.</p>
<p>I had hoped Giuliani&#8217;s flameout in the Republican primaries—has there ever been a more enjoyable trainwreck?—would have humbled him, or at least tempered his rhetoric. Yet here he is now, using his stale megaphone <a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1109/29675.html">to crow that it&#8217;s too dangerous</a> to try Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in New York:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8220;One of the best things the Bush Administration did was put us on offense. Putting us back on defense puts us in a very vulnerable position, not just in New York, but nationally,&#8221; Giuliani said Wednesday in a conference call with reporters. &#8220;New York City is a prime target of terrorists, unfortunately, we know that for reasons we can&#8217;t control, otherwise we&#8217;d have to destroy ourselves as a financial capital, a cultural capital. Why add to that risk for a reason that is not necessary is my major concern.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is insultingly stupid. If 9/11, Giuliani&#8217;s supposed area of expertise, should teach us anything, it&#8217;s that concepts like &#8220;offense&#8221; and &#8220;defense&#8221; are far too simplistic to solve the problem of Islamist terrorism. More importantly, Giuliani makes no effort to argue how trying an extremely famous terror suspect in New York City could possibly &#8220;add to the risk&#8221; of additional terrorist attacks here. This is exactly the point he&#8217;s trying to make—<em>and he doesn&#8217;t bother to make it!</em></p>
<p>Of course, the whole thing is a dodge, which illustrates the point I&#8217;m getting to. A major part of the right&#8217;s insistence on using military tribunals, aside from the absurd machismo aspect of it, is that a civilian trial <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/11/torture-taints-everything-it-touches.html" target="_blank">would expose</a> some of the worst, and least effective (ineffective?) aspects of the Bush administration&#8217;s torture regime—something in which conservatives like Giuliani are quite invested. They can&#8217;t make this point, however—&#8221;We don&#8217;t torture,&#8221; after all— which is one of the reasons Giuliani is on such tenuous rhetorical ground. And yet he bumbles on, using polemic to distract from the actual difficulties of trying KSM in a civilian court.</p>
<p>The gall doesn&#8217;t stop there. Later in the same Politico piece, Giuliani &#8220;singled out the administration for its refusal to use the term &#8216;War on Terror.&#8217;&#8221; Really, he said that. This comes on the heels of major conservative outcries over Obama&#8217;s supposed weakening of America during his Asia trip—by <a href="http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NjY5YjNmMWVmYTA3YzE0MGYwMjVjYTA4MWYxOWJlMmI=" target="_blank">bowing</a> to the Emperor of Japan and <a href="http://trueslant.com/conorfriedersdorf/2009/11/15/discretion-is-the-better-part-of-statemanship/" target="_blank">refusing to say</a> whether he believes that the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki was appropriate. <em>How can the Kenyan President of the United States of Socialism get away with doing such awful things to America?!</em></p>
<p>This is all of a piece with the fundamental unseriousness of conservatives, and especially neoconservatives, when it comes to national security and foreign relations. Or as Conor Friedersdorf says, the right&#8217;s &#8220;childish desire for self-righteous rhetoric above the actual demands of statesmanship.&#8221;</p>
<p>Because an ideology that portrays America as constantly the victim of evil outside forces hell-bent on destroying our way of life; that requires the jingoistic sacrificing of the traditional and polite norms of diplomacy on the altar of false pride; that trumps up unproven risks in an attempt to distract from the actual demands of justice and national healing—this is not an ideology interested in governing, or even in thinking. It&#8217;s the worst kind of reactionism: the mindless anger of children pretending to understand. What&#8217;s important to remember here is that we&#8217;re not talking about my beloved tea partiers (although they comprise much of the audience for this dreck). We&#8217;re talking about actual opinion makers who are seen as experts in this field. &#8220;Experts,&#8221; acting like children.</p>
<p>And the ideology of children has no place in the serious debates of this or any age.</p>
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		<title>Fort Hood</title>
		<link>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/fort-hood/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/fort-hood/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 18:23:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fort Hood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Fallows]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Zengerle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oklahoma City bombings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terrorism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/?p=109</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s hard to know what to think, except what a tragedy it is. We still know very few details, but everyone&#8217;s already got an opinion. I tend to agree with James Fallows when it comes to events like this:
In the saturation coverage right after the events, the &#8220;expert&#8221; talking heads are compelled to offer theories about the causes and consequences. In the following days and weeks, newspapers and magazine will<a href="http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/fort-hood/">&#160;<b>Read more</b></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s hard to know what to think, except what a tragedy it is. We still know very few details, but everyone&#8217;s already got an opinion. I tend to agree with <a href="http://jamesfallows.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/11/the_meaninglessness_of_shootin.php" target="_blank">James Fallows</a> when it comes to events like this:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">In the saturation coverage right after the events, the &#8220;expert&#8221; talking heads are compelled to offer theories about the causes and consequences. In the following days and weeks, newspapers and magazine will have their theories too. Looking back, we can see that all such efforts are futile. The shootings never mean anything. Forty years later, what did the Charles Whitman massacre &#8220;mean&#8221;? A decade later, do we &#8220;know&#8221; anything about Columbine? There is chaos and evil in life. Some people go crazy. In America, they do so with guns; in many countries, with knives; in Japan, sometimes poison.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">We know the emptiness of these events in retrospect, though we suppress that knowledge when the violence erupts as it is doing now. The cable-news platoons tonight are offering all their theories and thought-drops. They&#8217;ve got to fill time. I wish they could stop. As the Vietnam-era saying went, Don&#8217;t mean nothing.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">RIP.</p>
<p>Jason Zengerle <a href="http://www.tnr.com/blog/the-plank/does-ft-hood-have-meaning" target="_blank">makes what I think is the appropriate counterpoint</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">[I]t&#8217;s difficult not to see the Fort Hood shootings as different from Austin and Columbine and Paducah. The fact that they occurred on an Army base; the fact that the shooter was Muslim officer; the fact that we&#8217;re currently fighting wars in two Muslim countries&#8211;they all add up to make the meaning of this more apparent than the others. Rather than Columbine, think of Oklahoma City as a more appropriate historical precedent.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re interested in what they&#8217;re saying around the web, Andrew has, as usual, a <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/11/fort-hood-reax-not-ready-yet-dont-publish.html" target="_blank">good roundup</a>. Chilling stuff.</p>
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		<title>Election Reax</title>
		<link>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/election-reax/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/election-reax/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 19:13:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Alex Pareene]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/?p=101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think I&#8217;ve written enough about yesterday&#8217;s elections, so here&#8217;s some of what the Internet is saying:

Over at the Daily Dish, Andrew Sullivan compiles diverse election reactions from around the web, here and here. He also has some final thoughts on the pain in Maine after last night&#8217;s disappointing result. It wasn&#8217;t all bad news for the gays, though. &#8220;Everything-but-marriage&#8221; domestic partnerships survived a referendum in Washington state, and Chapel<a href="http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/election-reax/">&#160;<b>Read more</b></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think I&#8217;ve <a href="http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/decision-2009/" target="_blank">written</a> <a href="http://blogs.geniocity.com/rosenberg/2009/11/big-whoop/" target="_blank">enough</a> about yesterday&#8217;s elections, so here&#8217;s some of what the Internet is saying:</p>
<ul>
<li>Over at the Daily Dish, <strong>Andrew Sullivan</strong> compiles diverse election reactions from around the web, <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/11/offelection-reax.html" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/11/offyear-election-reax-ii-dont-publish-not-ready.html" target="_blank">here</a>. He also has some final thoughts on the <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/11/the-pain-in-maine-ii.html" target="_blank">pain in Maine</a> after last night&#8217;s disappointing result. It wasn&#8217;t all bad news for the gays, though. &#8220;Everything-but-marriage&#8221; domestic partnerships <a href="http://vote.wa.gov/Elections/WEI/Results.aspx?RaceTypeCode=M&amp;JurisdictionTypeID=-2&amp;ElectionID=32&amp;ViewMode=Results" target="_blank">survived a referendum</a> in Washington state, and Chapel Hill—yes, the one in <em>North Carolina</em>, really!—<a href="http://www.newsobserver.com/home/story/173407.html" target="_blank">elected a gay mayor</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Alex Pareene</strong> has characteristically sensible and witty takes on <a href="http://gawker.com/5397019/what-yesterdays-elections-actually-mean-for-barack-obama" target="_blank">yesterday&#8217;s elections</a>, <a href="http://gawker.com/5396940/whoops-barack-obama-forgot-to-care-about-the-gays-again" target="_blank">Maine</a>, and <a href="http://gawker.com/5396927/mike-bloomberg-wins" target="_blank">Michael Bloomberg</a> at Gawker.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>At the New Republic, <strong>Jonathan Chait</strong> <a href="http://www.tnr.com/blog/the-plank/everything-you-need-know-about-tonights-election-spin" target="_blank">dissects</a> the national spin and <strong>Michael Crowley</strong> <a href="http://www.tnr.com/blog/the-plank/bloomberg-barely" target="_blank">articulates</a> what ought to become the conventional wisdom on Mayor Mike: &#8220;I&#8217;m glad Bloomberg got some comeuppance, but I&#8217;m also glad he won.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Brian Beutler</strong> <a href="http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/yesterdays-overwhelming-historic-republican-victory-makes-democratic-health-care-reform-just-a-bit-e.php" target="_blank">makes a meaningful point</a> about the elections and health insurance reform: a bill will now be <em>easier to pass</em> in the House.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Reactions at NRO&#8217;s <a href="http://corner.nationalreview.com/" target="_blank">The Corner</a> are predictably smug and self-serving. <strong>Jonah Goldberg</strong> <a href="http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=OGQ1NzAzYjU4OWNlNTBmN2JiNTkzM2MzMTc4YTFlY2E=" target="_blank">thinks</a> yesterday was a &#8220;very, very bad day for Democrats.&#8221; We&#8217;ll see. <strong>Mark Steyn</strong> <a href="http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NmNiOWI0YTA0OTM3Y2M0NTk0ZTE5NWY1YjFiMTA0ZDU=" target="_blank">tries to downplay</a> Hoffman&#8217;s loss in NY-23. (<a href="http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MWU4ZDRjZDcyZjk3ZjAxNmI5ZTdjNTkxNGUwZDZkY2U=" target="_blank">Would shoulda coulda!</a>) Never mind, of course, that the Dems actually <a href="http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/11/congress-shifts-left.php" target="_blank">picked up a seat</a> in the House overall. And finally, <a href="http://www.washblade.com/2005/2-4/news/national/hrcseek.cfm" target="_blank">slimy</a> <strong>Maggie Gallagher</strong> is &#8220;<a href="http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YTFlYTMxYWY1NmQ3YTJlOGI5YmUyNGM0NzVmMWMzMGI=" target="_blank">so happy</a>&#8221; about the conservative victory in Maine. (Too bad it didn&#8217;t go her way in Washington!)</li>
</ul>
<p>In actual news, today is the 30th anniversary of the start of the Tehran hostage crisis, and protests there <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/05/world/middleeast/05iran.html" target="_blank">continue</a> for various reasons.</p>
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